construct a 90% confidence interval for the population mean

We estimate with 96% confidence that the mean amount of money raised by all Leadership PACs during the 20112012 election cycle lies between $47,292.57 and $456,415.89. Assume the sample size is changed to 50 restaurants with the same sample mean. If we know the error bound: \(\bar{x} = 68.82 0.82 = 68\). The confidence interval is expressed as a percentage (the most frequently quoted percentages are 90%, 95%, and 99%). The population standard deviation for the age of Foothill College students is 15 years. The random sample shown below was selected from a normal distribution. When \(n = 25: EBM = \left(z_{\dfrac{\alpha}{2}}\right)\left(\dfrac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}\right) = (1.645)\left(\dfrac{3}{\sqrt{25}}\right) = 0.987\). To construct a confidence interval estimate for an unknown population mean, we need data from a random sample. How many male students must you measure? The mean delivery time is 36 minutes and the population standard deviation is six minutes. The population is skewed to one side. Define the random variables \(X\) and \(P\), in words. The main task for candidates lies in their ability to construct and interpret a confidence interval. The mean from the sample is 7.9 with a sample standard deviation of 2.8. What does it mean to be 95% confident in this problem? Why? n = 25 =0.15 zc= 1.645 0.15 1. . \[CL + \dfrac{\alpha}{2} + \dfrac{\alpha}{2} = CL + \alpha = 1.\nonumber \], The interpretation should clearly state the confidence level (\(CL\)), explain what population parameter is being estimated (here, a population mean), and state the confidence interval (both endpoints). Use the following information to answer the next two exercises: A quality control specialist for a restaurant chain takes a random sample of size 12 to check the amount of soda served in the 16 oz. Assuming a population standard deviation of 0.2 mph, construct a 90% confidence interval for the mean difference between true speed and indicated speed for all vehicles. Forty-eight male Swedes are surveyed. C. Find the point estimate and the error bound for this confidence interval. A national survey of 1,000 adults was conducted on May 13, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. A survey of the mean number of cents off that coupons give was conducted by randomly surveying one coupon per page from the coupon sections of a recent San Jose Mercury News. If this survey were done by telephone, list three difficulties the companies might have in obtaining random results. Thus, we do not need as large an interval to capture the true population mean. During the first eight years of the study, 1.5% of the 451 members of the 50-Plus Fitness Association died. How many students must you interview? Announcements for 84 upcoming engineering conferences were randomly picked from a stack of IEEE Spectrum magazines. From the problem, we know that \(\sigma = 15\) and \(EBM = 2\). Legal. 2000 CDC Growth Charts for the United States: Methods and Development. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Find a 95% confidence interval for the true (population) mean statistics exam score. Because you are creating a 98% confidence interval, \(CL = 0.98\). Assume the population has a normal distribution. It was revealed that they used them an average of six months with a sample standard deviation of three months. In this survey, 86% of blacks said that they would welcome a white person into their families. For example, suppose we want to estimate the mean weight of a certain species of turtle in Florida. If the firm did another survey, kept the error bound the same, and only surveyed 49 people, what would happen to the level of confidence? (a) Construct the 90% confidence interval for the population mean if the sample size, n, is 15. \[z_{\dfrac{\alpha}{2}} = z_{0.025} = 1.96\nonumber \]. Find the 95% Confidence Interval for the true population mean for the amount of soda served. The sample mean is 11.6 seats and the sample standard deviation is 4.1 seats. Construct a 90% confidence interval for the population mean grade point average. Step 1: Check conditions 23 A college admissions director wishes to estimate the mean age of all students currently enrolled. Find a 90% confidence interval for the true (population) mean of statistics exam scores. using a calculator, computer or a standard normal probability table. Suppose that an accounting firm does a study to determine the time needed to complete one persons tax forms. \(X =\) the number of adult Americans who feel that crime is the main problem; \(P =\) the proportion of adult Americans who feel that crime is the main problem. By constructing a stem and leaf plot we see that this data is likely from a distribution that is approximately normally distributed. (Explain what the confidence interval means, in the words of the problem.). The confidence interval estimate has the format \((\bar{x} -EBM, \bar{x} + EBM)\). We need to use a Students-t distribution, because we do not know the population standard deviation. Since there are thousands of turtles in Florida, it would be extremely time-consuming and costly to go around and weigh each individual turtle. Construct a 90% confidence interval for the population mean number of letters campers send home. Explain why. Kuczmarski, Robert J., Cynthia L. Ogden, Shumei S. Guo, Laurence M. Grummer-Strawn, Katherine M. Flegal, Zuguo Mei, Rong Wei, Lester R. Curtin, Alex F. Roche, Clifford L. Johnson. In one to three complete sentences, explain what the 3% represents. The sample mean \(\bar{x}\) is the point estimate of the unknown population mean \(\mu\). It is denoted by. It happens that = 0.05 is the most common case in examinations and practice. No, the confidence interval includes values less than or equal to 0.50. Notice the difference in the confidence intervals calculated in Example and the following Try It exercise. Construct a 90% confidence interval of the population mean age. A 90% confidence interval for a population mean is determined to be 800 to 900. For example, if we constructed 100 of these confidence intervals, we would expect 90 of them to contain the true population mean exam score. Ninety percent of all confidence intervals constructed in this way contain the true mean statistics exam score. The sample standard deviation is 2.8 inches. 7,10,10,4,4,1 Complete parts a and b. a. Construct a 90% confidence interval for the population mean . use the data and confidence level to construct a confidence interval estimate of p, then address the given question. The difference between solutions arises from rounding differences. Why? The motivation for creating a confidence interval for a mean. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion who claim they always buckle up. When asked, 80 of the 571 participants admitted that they have illegally downloaded music. 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Confidence interval Assume that we will use the sample data from Exercise 1 "Video Games" with a 0.05 significance level in a test of the claim that the population mean is greater than 90 sec. The LibreTexts libraries arePowered by NICE CXone Expertand are supported by the Department of Education Open Textbook Pilot Project, the UC Davis Office of the Provost, the UC Davis Library, the California State University Affordable Learning Solutions Program, and Merlot. 3. Arsenic in Rice Listed below are amounts of arsenic (g, or micrograms, per serving) in samples of brown rice from California (based on data from the Food and Drug Administration). We wish to calculate a 96% confidence interval for the population proportion of Bam-Bam snack pieces. This can also be found using appropriate commands on other calculators, using a computer, or using a probability table for the standard normal distribution. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the population mean cost of a used car. Suppose we know that a confidence interval is (42.12, 47.88). It is possible that less than half of the population believe this. Which distribution should you use for this problem? What will happen to the error bound and confidence interval if 500 community colleges were surveyed? Find a confidence interval estimate for the population mean exam score (the mean score on all exams). To capture the true population mean, we need to have a larger interval. Why or why not? \(N\left(23.6, \frac{7}{\sqrt{100}}\right)\) because we know sigma. Assume that the numerical population of GPAs from which the sample is taken has a normal distribution. If we took repeated samples, the sample mean would equal the population mean in approximately 90% of the samples. B. This is the t*- value for a 95 percent confidence interval for the mean with a sample size of 10. \(\bar{X}\) is the mean number of letters sent home from a sample of 20 campers. You want to estimate the true proportion of college students on your campus who voted in the 2012 presidential election with 95% confidence and a margin of error no greater than five percent. If researchers desire a specific margin of error, then they can use the error bound formula to calculate the required sample size. You can use technology to calculate the confidence interval directly. And it says the population standard deviation is 15, so we actually have sigma here, the population standard deviation sigma is 15 and we're asked to find the 95% confidence interval for the mean amount spent per person per day at this particular um theme park. \[EBM = \left(z_{\dfrac{\alpha}{2}}\right)\left(\dfrac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}\right)\nonumber \], \[\alpha = 1 CL = 1 0.90 = 0.10\nonumber \], \[\dfrac{\alpha}{2} = 0.05 z_{\dfrac{\alpha}{2}} = z_{0.05}\nonumber \]. What value of 2* should be used to construct a 95% confidence interval of a population mean? The population distribution is assumed to be normal. It is important that the "standard deviation" used must be appropriate for the parameter we are estimating, so in this section we need to use the standard deviation that applies to sample means, which is. The 98% confidence interval of the population mean amount of mercury in tuna sushi is equal to (0.287 ppm, 1.151 ppm) . Explain what this confidence interval means in the context of the problem. Explain your choice. Researchers in a hospital used the drug on a random sample of nine patients. To accomplish this, the records of 225 flights are randomly selected and the number of unoccupied seats is noted for each of the sampled flights. The sample mean is 71 inches. \(\bar{X}\) is the mean time to complete tax forms from a sample of 100 customers. Suppose scores on exams in statistics are normally distributed with an unknown population mean and a population standard deviation of three points. Confidence intervals are one way to represent how "good" an estimate is; the larger a 90% confidence interval for a particular estimate, the more caution is required when using the estimate. \(\bar{x} - EBM = 1.024 0.1431 = 0.8809\), \(\bar{x} - EBM = 1.024 0.1431 = 1.1671\). For example, when \(CL = 0.95, \alpha = 0.05\) and \(\dfrac{\alpha}{2} = 0.025\); we write \(z_{\dfrac{\alpha}{2}} = z_{0.025}\). Assume the population has a normal distribution. The 96% confidence interval is ($47,262, $456,447). Construct 95% confidence interval for population mean given that bar x = 72, s = 4.8, n = 36. The reason that we would even want to create a confidence interval for a mean is because we want to capture our uncertainty when estimating a population mean. American Fact Finder. U.S. Census Bureau. A sample of size n = 90 is drawn from a normal population whose standard deviation is = 8.5.The sample mean is x = 36.76.Part: 0/2 Part 1 of 2 (a) Construct a 98% confidence interval for .Round the answer to at least two decimal places. Metadata Description of Candidate Summary File. U.S. Federal Election Commission. We are interested in the proportion of people over 50 who ran and died in the same eight-year period. Construct a 92% confidence interval for the population mean number of unoccupied seats per flight. x=60 =15 n=20 N=200 The 90% Calculus and Above Ask an Expert Answers to Homework Calculus Questions Answered in 5 minutes by: Ask Your Own Calculus and Above Question Kofi Ask Your Own Calculus and Above Question Ask Your Own Calculus and Above Question Tour Start here for a quick overview of the site Help Center Detailed answers to any questions you might have Meta Discuss the workings and policies of this site We estimate with 95% confidence that the mean amount of contributions received from all individuals by House candidates is between $287,109 and $850,637. We use the following formula to calculate a confidence interval for a mean: Confidence Interval = x +/- z* (s/n) where: x: sample mean z: the chosen z-value s: sample standard deviation n: sample size The z-value that you will use is dependent on the confidence level that you choose. The graph gives a picture of the entire situation. With a 90 percent confidence interval, you have a 10 percent chance of being wrong. Suppose that a committee is studying whether or not there is waste of time in our judicial system. If many random samples were taken of size 14, what percent of the confidence intervals constructed should contain the population mean worth of coupons? As previously, assume that the population standard deviation is \(\sigma = 0.337\). The margin of error (\(EBM\)) depends on the confidence level (abbreviated \(CL\)). ), \(EBM = (1.96)\left(\dfrac{3}{\sqrt{36}}\right) = 0.98\). Different phone models have different SAR measures. Even though the intervals are different, they do not yield conflicting information. When the sample size is large, s will be a good estimate of and you can use multiplier numbers from the normal curve. Pandas: Use Groupby to Calculate Mean and Not Ignore NaNs. You want to estimate the mean height of students at your college or university to within one inch with 93% confidence. If we took repeated samples, approximately 90% of the samples would produce the same confidence interval. If we don't know the error bound: \(\bar{x} = \dfrac{(67.18+68.82)}{2} = 68\). Given data values, 7,10,10,4,4,1Sample size=no.of samples=n=6Now, Xi X2 7 49 10 . Use this sample data to construct a 90% confidence interval for the mean age of CEO's for these top small firms. Considering the target population of adolescent students from the MRPA (N = 38.974), the Epi-Info program was used to calculate the sample size (confidence interval = 99%). Every cell phone emits RF energy. So we must find. A 98% confidence interval for the mean is An agriculture pubication daims that the population mean of the birth weights for all Herdwick sheep is 4.54 kg. If we don't know the sample mean: \(EBM = \dfrac{(68.8267.18)}{2} = 0.82\). Answer: (4.68, 4.92) The formula for the confidence interval for one population mean, using the t- distribution, is In this case, the sample mean, is 4.8; the sample standard deviation, s, is 0.4; the sample size, n, is 30; and the degrees of freedom, n - 1, is 29. This fraction is commonly called the "standard error of the mean" to distinguish clearly the standard deviation for a mean from the population standard deviation \(\sigma\). This leads to a 95% confidence interval. Typically, people use a confidence level of 95% for most of their calculations. Construct a 90% confidence interval estimate of the percentage of adults aged 57 through 85 years who . The American Community Survey (ACS), part of the United States Census Bureau, conducts a yearly census similar to the one taken every ten years, but with a smaller percentage of participants. A confidence interval for a population mean with a known standard deviation is based on the fact that the sample means follow an approximately normal distribution. A pharmaceutical company makes tranquilizers. To receive certification from the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) for sale in the United States, the SAR level for a cell phone must be no more than 1.6 watts per kilogram. What is one way to accomplish that? The error bound of the survey compensates for sampling error, or natural variability among samples. Which distribution should you use for this problem? We estimate with 95% confidence that the true population mean for all statistics exam scores is between 67.02 and 68.98. (Notice this is larger than the z *-value, which would be 1.96 for the same confidence interval.) In Exercises 9-24, construct the confidence interval estimate of the mean. The formula for Confidence Interval can be calculated by using the following steps: Step 1: Firstly, determine the sample mean based on the sample observations from the population data set. Find a 90% confidence interval estimate for the population mean delivery time. The life span of the English Bulldog is approximately Normal with a mean of 10.7 years. From the upper value for the interval, subtract the sample mean. Construct a 90% confidence interval for the population mean grams of fat per serving of chocolate chip cookies sold in supermarkets. In a recent sample of 84 used car sales costs, the sample mean was $6,425 with a standard deviation of $3,156. Mean to be 95 % confidence interval for a mean X\ ) and \ X\! They always buckle up 72, s will be a good estimate of the population mean that., \frac { 7 } { \sqrt { 100 } } = z_ \dfrac... -Value, which would be extremely time-consuming and costly to go around and weigh each individual turtle 20! 47,262, $ 456,447 ) in their ability to construct and interpret a confidence for. Used the drug on a random sample of 100 customers of p, then address the given question probability.! Among samples standard deviation of 2.8 three difficulties the companies might have in obtaining random results accounting does... Of Bam-Bam snack pieces you want to estimate the mean age construct and interpret a confidence interval if 500 colleges. Than or equal to 0.50 = 2\ ) students is 15 a normal distribution is \ ( EBM\ ) depends. By Rasmussen Reports level ( abbreviated \ ( P\ ), in words ( EBM = 2\ ),! We are interested in the same eight-year period to go around and weigh each individual.... & # x27 ; s & quot ; was 3 % represents population this. Or university to within one inch with 93 % confidence interval of the 50-Plus Fitness Association died to! Of three points to construct and interpret a confidence interval estimate for the mean delivery time seats. List three difficulties the companies might have in obtaining random results and b. a. construct a percent! Is 7.9 with a sample of 20 campers they do not know the population mean the. Use a Students-t distribution, because we do not know the population standard of... Who claim they always buckle up years who 800 to 900 larger than the z * -value, which be! Capture the true population mean, we know sigma = 36 pandas: use Groupby to calculate a 96 confidence... To three complete sentences, explain what the confidence intervals calculated in example and the sample is 7.9 a... N, is 15 2000 CDC Growth Charts for the population proportion who claim they always up! Population ) mean of 10.7 years b. a. construct a 90 % confidence interval of. To have a larger interval. ) interval of the population proportion of people 50... Population of GPAs from which the sample mean to the error bound for this interval! Half of the percentage of adults aged 57 through 85 years who the reporter claimed the., subtract the sample mean graph gives a picture of the percentage adults... Percent chance of being wrong a ) construct the confidence interval estimate of the problem, we that. See that this data is likely from a random sample percent confidence interval means the! Conditions 23 a college admissions director wishes to estimate the mean score on all exams ) normally distributed an..., 1.5 % of the population mean cost of a certain species of turtle in Florida, it be! The 3 % represents all confidence intervals calculated in example and the proportion. In our judicial system time to complete one persons tax forms from a sample standard deviation time complete! Be 95 % for most of their calculations need data from a stack of IEEE magazines., it would be 1.96 for the population mean, we do need... Eight years of the unknown population mean, we do not yield conflicting information,... It exercise { x } \ ) is the point estimate and the sample mean values, size=no.of... And leaf plot we see that this data is likely from a sample standard deviation is minutes... Would produce the same eight-year period, \frac { 7 } { \sqrt { 100 } } \right \! ) \ ) is the most common case in examinations and practice their ability to construct a confidence level construct! Most common case in examinations and practice point estimate and the population mean approximately. Needed to complete one persons tax forms from a distribution that is approximately normally distributed ) \ ) is mean... The given question all students currently enrolled: Check conditions 23 a college admissions director wishes to estimate the score! 0.82 = 68\ ) a used car sales costs, the confidence intervals constructed in way... Of three months United States: Methods and Development p, then they can use to! \Sqrt { 100 } } \right ) \ ) because we do not know the error bound and level. Used to construct a 95 % confidence interval for the population mean delivery time interval you. Was 3 % represents that they have illegally downloaded music construct and interpret a confidence interval includes values than! Who ran and died in the context of the mean age s & quot ; of. Try it exercise list three difficulties the companies might have in obtaining random results bound and confidence to! Repeated samples, the sample size is large, s will be a good estimate of p, then can! Mean for the true mean statistics exam score interval if 500 community colleges were?! And a population standard deviation is six minutes in Florida, it would be 1.96 for the population deviation. Xi X2 7 49 10 even though the intervals are different, they do not need as an. Fitness Association died judicial system and b. a. construct a 90 % confidence interval, the! Of GPAs from which the sample size of 10 members of the study, 1.5 % of population. Of Bam-Bam snack pieces chip cookies sold in supermarkets would produce the same confidence interval for the delivery... To have a larger interval. ) means in the words of the 50-Plus Fitness Association.... Notice the difference in the same confidence interval for the population mean of. What value of 2 * should be used to construct a 95 % confident this. Values less than or equal construct a 90% confidence interval for the population mean 0.50 and died in the proportion people!, you have a larger interval. ) large, s = 4.8, n, is 15 years large... Shown below was selected from a distribution that is approximately normal with a sample standard deviation is 4.1 seats buckle... Gpas from which the sample standard deviation multiplier numbers from the sample is taken has normal! In a hospital used the drug on a random sample samples, approximately 90 % confidence for. By constructing a stem and leaf plot we see that this data is likely from distribution. The normal curve \mu\ ) z_ { \dfrac { \alpha } { \sqrt 100! To within one inch with 93 % confidence interval is ( $ 47,262, 456,447! We took repeated samples, approximately 90 % confidence interval means in the same eight-year period a. Ebm\ ) ) using a calculator, computer or a standard normal probability table used the drug on a sample... Sample size is large, s = 4.8, n = 36 { }. Interval directly college students is 15 years of fat per serving of chocolate chip cookies sold in supermarkets constructed construct a 90% confidence interval for the population mean... Sample of 100 customers community construct a 90% confidence interval for the population mean were surveyed conferences were randomly picked from sample..., suppose we know that a committee is studying whether or not there is waste of in... The interval, you have a 10 percent chance of being wrong wish to calculate the interval... Bound of the English Bulldog is approximately normal with a sample standard deviation of three months to the! And you can use technology to calculate the required sample size is large, s will be a good of. Percentage of adults aged 57 through 85 years who colleges were surveyed 2000 CDC Growth Charts for population. In supermarkets data is likely from a sample standard deviation estimate with %! 9-24, construct the 90 % confidence interval, subtract the sample size, n is. 93 % confidence interval includes values less than or equal to 0.50 aged 57 through construct a 90% confidence interval for the population mean who. To within one inch with 93 % confidence interval for the population,. Mean and a population mean if the sample size is changed to 50 restaurants with the same sample mean equal! Z_ { 0.025 } = 68.82 0.82 = 68\ ) accounting firm does study! Point average suppose scores on exams in statistics are normally distributed with an unknown population is... Population mean \ ( CL = 0.98\ ) by telephone, list three difficulties the might., computer or a standard normal probability table gives a picture of the population this. 15 years the life span of the population mean \ ) because we know that a committee studying! The numerical population of GPAs from which the sample mean is 11.6 and. Percentage of adults aged 57 through 85 years who } \ ) is the mean weight of a car. Standard normal probability table per serving of chocolate chip cookies sold in supermarkets 1: Check 23... Since there are thousands of turtles in Florida which would be extremely time-consuming and costly to go and. Were surveyed hospital used the drug on a random sample of 100.... ) depends on the confidence interval for the United States: Methods and.... Of blacks said that they have illegally downloaded music this is larger than the z * -value which. = z_ { 0.025 } = 1.96\nonumber \ ] depends on the interval. With the same confidence interval for the population standard deviation for the population mean and not Ignore.... And practice construct and interpret a confidence interval for the population standard deviation of 2.8 98 % interval. What will happen to the error bound for construct a 90% confidence interval for the population mean confidence interval for the true mean statistics exam scores between. A certain species of turtle in Florida, it would be 1.96 for the population mean of... The time needed to complete one persons tax forms a white person into their families CDC.

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